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Red135
25466.3
325629.2
582926.7
Blue138
325060.4
432.0
581728.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171188090100110130140150135138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
66.31.3
67.468.7
Auto19.9
Teleop40.6
End5.8
red by 5.9
3250
#12
60.41.4
55.456.8
Auto18.2
Teleop32.0
End10.3
Second
3256
#36
29.21.3
25.927.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End4.0
blue by 2.8
4
#10
32.01.4
29.030.4
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End7.2
Third
5829
#25
26.71.3
22.523.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 1.9
5817
#20
28.71.4
28.229.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed