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Qual 432016 Chezy Champs
Red114
11521.1
385941.5
567729.9
Blue120
501228.7
347651.2
549922.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811020200300400114120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#8
41.51.8
36.4→38.2
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End3.6
blue by 9.7
3476
#14
51.21.0
48.6→49.6
Auto11.3
Teleop32.3
End7.7
Second
5677
#30
29.91.8
22.9→24.8
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End4.6
red by 1.2
5012
#34
28.71.0
23.5→24.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Third
115
#28
21.11.8
22.5→24.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 0.9
5499
#40
22.01.0
23.6→24.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed