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Red157
97351.0
183631.0
366344.5
Blue75
330946.6
186821.6
70127.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110505015020015775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#15
51.02.2
50.452.6
Auto14.3
Teleop27.5
End9.2
red by 4.4
3309
#21
46.62.0
55.053.0
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
Second
3663
#13
44.52.2
41.543.7
Auto8.5
Teleop31.0
End5.0
red by 17.3
701
#31
27.22.0
29.627.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.2
End2.1
Third
1836
#26
31.02.2
31.934.1
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End4.1
red by 9.4
1868
#39
21.62.0
20.818.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
39%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsMissed