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Red107
25466.3
330946.6
97221.7
Blue145
385941.5
207339.5
501228.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15692050200250107145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
66.32.4
69.066.7
Auto19.9
Teleop40.6
End5.8
red by 24.8
41.53.1
37.740.8
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End3.6
Second
3309
#21
46.62.4
49.246.9
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
red by 7.0
2073
#18
39.53.1
37.140.3
Auto4.4
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Third
972
#22
21.72.4
24.121.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End0.8
blue by 6.9
5012
#34
28.73.1
23.426.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
57%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed