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Red75
502614.1
325629.2
97351.0
Blue127
96838.6
567729.9
84634.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99101608012014016075127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#15
51.01.5
52.551.0
Auto14.3
Teleop27.5
End9.2
red by 12.3
968
#6
38.61.9
37.139.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End5.6
Second
3256
#36
29.21.5
30.729.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End4.0
blue by 5.3
846
#11
34.61.9
32.934.9
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End4.2
Third
5026
#32
14.11.5
13.812.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 15.8
5677
#30
29.91.9
28.029.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned