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Red77
502614.1
213531.7
70127.2
Blue109
196728.8
570029.6
207339.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758305010015020025030077109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#16
31.70.1
25.325.2
Auto9.8
Teleop17.2
End4.6
blue by 7.8
2073
#18
39.52.0
30.832.8
Auto4.4
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Second
701
#31
27.20.1
31.331.2
Auto3.9
Teleop21.2
End2.1
blue by 2.4
5700
#17
29.62.7
28.230.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
5026
#32
14.10.1
17.117.0
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 14.8
1967
#23
28.82.0
20.222.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed