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Red145
83636.8
141842.6
580429.9
Blue117
162933.8
62331.9
236336.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481266080100140160180200220145117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.2
42.142.0
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 6.0
2363
#46
36.60.2
36.836.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Second
836
#8
36.80.2
36.336.1
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 3.0
1629
#41
33.80.2
34.033.8
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
5804
#23
29.90.2
29.429.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 2.0
623
#9
31.90.2
32.131.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3