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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105900501502009983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#11
40.00.1
38.037.9
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 8.4
4638
#53
31.60.5
31.030.5
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End3.9
Second
401
#5
35.90.1
33.233.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.0
red by 4.6
2534
#34
31.30.5
28.828.3
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
Third
5115
#25
30.90.1
28.728.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
blue by 0.4
5338
#48
31.30.5
30.029.6
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed