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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110240608012014016099109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#32
38.00.6
33.133.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End5.1
blue by 2.0
122
#11
40.00.8
37.938.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End4.5
Second
5115
#25
30.90.6
28.629.2
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
blue by 2.8
1137
#12
33.70.8
31.532.2
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End5.7
Third
1719
#56
27.00.6
28.429.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
blue by 3.2
1413
#24
30.20.8
28.329.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned