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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75101501508697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2068
#22
32.00.6
29.830.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
blue by 6.9
1731
#17
38.90.2
37.437.2
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
Second
2534
#34
31.30.6
28.328.9
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
blue by 1.1
1599
#30
32.50.2
34.534.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Third
5957
#36
22.40.6
19.019.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 7.4
116
#35
29.80.2
22.622.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed