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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82740501001502008390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#15
36.00.3
28.929.2
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
red by 5.3
2537
#54
30.61.1
32.833.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Second
4456
#52
27.10.3
23.223.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.9
End3.2
blue by 1.3
384
#28
28.41.1
18.419.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
5587
#58
23.40.3
26.126.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 1.7
6194
#55
25.11.1
21.823.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed