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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910905010015020082102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#41
33.80.5
35.535.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 7.2
41.00.1
36.936.8
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End5.4
Second
1829
#45
30.10.5
29.829.3
Auto8.7
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 6.5
2363
#46
36.60.1
36.136.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Third
1895
#49
26.10.5
24.123.6
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
blue by 5.8
623
#9
31.90.1
30.330.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned