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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939560801001201409179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
#14
36.50.0
38.538.5
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
red by 2.0
422
#6
34.50.9
32.231.4
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
4638
#53
31.60.0
31.131.1
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End3.9
red by 0.2
2534
#34
31.30.9
29.228.3
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
Third
384
#28
28.40.0
20.920.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 1.8
1413
#24
30.20.9
30.429.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed