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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1227605010015020011485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.1
43.543.7
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 10.8
4505
#13
31.80.3
25.325.6
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Second
401
#5
35.90.1
33.633.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.0
red by 5.3
888
#29
30.60.3
31.431.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
1629
#41
33.80.1
35.035.1
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 8.8
3941
#20
24.90.3
23.824.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned