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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859505015020072112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#37
32.50.8
30.830.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
blue by 4.3
836
#8
36.81.4
35.036.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Second
5804
#23
29.90.8
29.628.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 1.4
2534
#34
31.31.4
28.329.8
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
Third
1895
#49
26.10.8
23.622.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
blue by 5.0
1111
#42
31.11.4
27.428.8
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned