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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948320406010012014016060101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#30
32.52.0
33.931.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 1.6
5115
#25
30.90.6
27.227.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
Second
4638
#53
31.62.0
32.830.8
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End3.9
red by 0.9
2537
#54
30.60.6
30.831.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Third
977
#50
22.72.0
22.920.9
Auto9.1
Teleop9.9
End3.7
blue by 2.4
540
#16
25.10.6
24.124.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed