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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791094060100120140160114106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#27
38.82.2
35.637.8
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
blue by 3.8
42.60.3
41.842.0
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
Second
5841
#40
29.02.2
23.125.3
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
blue by 3.1
32.10.3
30.330.6
Auto11.0
Teleop16.0
End5.0
Third
4456
#52
27.12.2
22.424.6
Auto10.0
Teleop13.9
End3.2
blue by 4.2
2534
#34
31.30.3
29.830.0
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned