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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758720406010012010594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#43
31.32.0
29.932.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.3
blue by 4.6
401
#5
35.90.1
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.0
Second
1895
#49
26.12.0
23.725.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
red by 0.2
2421
#57
25.90.1
22.922.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Third
977
#50
22.72.0
20.922.9
Auto9.1
Teleop9.9
End3.7
blue by 2.4
6194
#55
25.10.1
25.125.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed