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Red147
173138.9
33932.9
141330.2
Blue154
34638.8
42234.5
126232.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713650100150200147154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
38.90.1
39.439.3
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
red by 0.2
346
#27
38.80.0
39.038.9
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
Second
339
#2
32.90.1
33.433.3
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
blue by 1.6
422
#6
34.50.0
34.734.7
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Third
1413
#24
30.20.1
30.730.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
blue by 2.0
1262
#10
32.20.0
32.432.4
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1