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Red106
173138.9
33932.9
141330.2
Blue157
34638.8
42234.5
126232.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261366080100160180200220106157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
38.90.4
39.338.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
red by 0.2
346
#27
38.80.1
38.939.1
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
Second
339
#2
32.90.4
33.332.9
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
blue by 1.6
422
#6
34.50.1
34.734.8
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Third
1413
#24
30.20.4
30.630.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
blue by 2.0
1262
#10
32.20.1
32.432.5
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1