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Red205
12045.5
248159.7
33061.1
Blue197
169058.5
205670.1
140532.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203203170180190210220230240205197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
61.10.3
61.361.1
Auto14.6
Teleop35.9
End10.6
blue by 9.0
2056
Unranked
70.10.5
68.769.2
Auto19.0
Teleop38.2
End12.9
Second
2481
Unranked
59.70.3
59.959.6
Auto19.5
Teleop33.5
End6.7
red by 1.2
1690
Unranked
58.50.5
57.157.5
Auto14.1
Teleop39.4
End5.0
Third
120
Unranked
45.50.3
45.745.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.6
red by 13.5
1405
Unranked
32.00.5
30.631.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End7.8