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Red225
12045.5
248159.7
33061.1
Blue225
169058.5
205670.1
140532.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2012070100300400500225225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
61.10.2
60.961.1
Auto14.6
Teleop35.9
End10.6
blue by 9.0
2056
Unranked
70.10.5
69.770.1
Auto19.0
Teleop38.2
End12.9
Second
2481
Unranked
59.70.2
59.559.7
Auto19.5
Teleop33.5
End6.7
red by 1.2
1690
Unranked
58.50.5
58.058.5
Auto14.1
Teleop39.4
End5.0
Third
120
Unranked
45.50.2
45.345.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.6
red by 13.5
1405
Unranked
32.00.5
31.632.0
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End7.8