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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Colorado Regional
Red101
299636.4
323041.9
197720.5
Blue120
113828.6
141031.7
441819.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13185050100150200101120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
41.90.4
42.4→42.0
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
red by 10.2
1410
#9
31.70.5
29.3→29.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
Second
2996
#22
36.40.4
36.9→36.5
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
red by 7.8
1138
#12
28.60.5
26.2→26.7
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Third
1977
#40
20.50.5
21.0→20.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
red by 1.5
4418
#39
19.00.6
16.3→16.9
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4