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Qual 182016 Colorado Regional
Red66
158319.2
197720.5
297225.7
Blue80
115728.7
429328.1
133222.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596902040801001201406680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#17
25.70.8
21.6→22.4
Auto8.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
blue by 3.0
1157
#6
28.70.5
23.5→24.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Second
1977
#40
20.50.8
16.2→17.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
blue by 7.6
4293
#14
28.10.5
20.7→21.2
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
1583
#26
19.20.8
21.2→21.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
blue by 3.6
1332
#30
22.80.5
21.1→21.6
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed