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Red108
159229.3
438618.4
66228.8
Blue82
323041.9
294515.7
320016.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72732040608010012014010882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#10
29.31.7
22.724.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End3.0
blue by 12.7
41.90.7
36.337.0
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
Second
662
#7
28.81.5
30.331.8
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
red by 12.2
3200
#44
16.61.2
18.519.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Third
4386
#46
18.42.6
17.019.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End2.9
red by 2.7
2945
#41
15.71.2
16.217.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed