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Qual 52016 Colorado Regional
Red57
372923.8
438831.2
130315.2
Blue86
415326.7
224027.6
66228.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5477020401001201405786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#11
31.20.3
21.8→21.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 2.4
662
#7
28.81.2
26.5→27.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
Second
3729
#25
23.80.5
16.5→16.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End3.4
blue by 3.8
2240
#5
27.61.6
17.8→19.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Third
1303
#45
15.20.5
17.8→17.3
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End4.1
blue by 11.5
4153
#20
26.71.2
27.1→28.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned