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Qual 562016 Colorado Regional
Red72
380715.8
159229.3
473511.0
Blue95
449934.1
203621.0
101138.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4210202060801201401607295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#10
29.31.1
26.6→27.7
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End3.0
blue by 8.8
1011
#4
38.00.3
36.7→37.0
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Second
3807
#24
15.81.9
13.7→15.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End1.5
blue by 18.3
4499
#13
34.10.3
32.0→32.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Third
4735
#48
11.01.1
9.6→10.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End-0.4
blue by 10.0
2036
#36
21.00.5
21.7→22.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned