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Qual 682016 Colorado Regional
Red88
589922.7
328830.7
158416.4
Blue94
297225.7
455021.8
449934.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638420401001201408894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3288
#3
30.71.3
27.9→29.1
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
blue by 3.4
4499
#13
34.10.7
34.3→34.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Second
5899
#29
22.71.8
22.2→24.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 3.0
2972
#17
25.71.0
24.1→25.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Third
1584
#47
16.41.8
14.0→15.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 5.4
4550
#23
21.80.7
20.5→21.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed