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Red122
531821.0
133927.5
328830.7
Blue70
565730.5
158416.4
130315.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7862204010012014012270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.71.6
29.130.7
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
red by 0.2
5657
#21
30.50.7
31.532.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
Second
1339
#34
27.51.6
26.728.2
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 11.1
1584
#47
16.40.7
15.816.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
5318
#32
21.02.1
17.920.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End3.9
red by 5.8
1303
#45
15.20.7
15.316.0
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed