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Qual 812016 Colorado Regional
Red62
364817.3
415326.7
406823.6
Blue85
459319.3
224027.6
565730.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6888204060801001201401606285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#20
26.70.5
27.2→26.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.3
blue by 3.8
5657
#21
30.51.0
32.2→31.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
Second
4068
#27
23.60.6
24.0→23.4
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 3.9
2240
#5
27.61.0
29.7→28.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Third
3648
#43
17.30.6
17.9→17.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End1.8
blue by 1.9
4593
#15
19.31.0
20.6→19.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed