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Red64
124521.7
197720.5
203621.0
Blue81
141031.7
224027.6
130315.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48710204060801001206481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1245
#37
21.70.5
15.916.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
blue by 10.1
31.70.4
28.629.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
Second
2036
#36
21.00.5
18.318.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 6.6
27.60.6
19.620.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Third
1977
#40
20.50.5
15.816.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
red by 5.2
1303
#45
15.20.6
17.317.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed