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Semifinal 2-12016 Colorado Regional
Red113
113828.6
141031.7
441819.0
Blue108
449934.1
328830.7
133927.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91125050150200250113108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#9
31.70.4
30.6→31.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
blue by 2.4
4499
#13
34.10.2
35.0→34.8
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Second
1138
#12
28.60.4
27.5→27.9
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End4.2
blue by 2.1
3288
#3
30.70.2
31.6→31.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
Third
4418
#39
19.00.4
17.8→18.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4
blue by 8.4
1339
#34
27.50.2
28.4→28.2
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0