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Red195
55840.9
19556.5
346131.9
Blue192
15537.0
17738.7
216836.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159130050100200250300195192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
56.50.5
56.156.5
Auto12.1
Teleop37.6
End6.9
red by 17.8
177
#6
38.70.6
38.138.7
Auto10.1
Teleop23.1
End5.5
Second
558
#8
40.90.5
40.440.9
Auto8.6
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 3.9
155
#26
37.00.6
36.437.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End7.9
Third
3461
#31
31.90.5
31.431.9
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 4.1
2168
#16
36.10.6
35.536.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8