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Red142
55840.9
19556.5
346131.9
Blue121
199128.2
217026.5
23735.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1689850150200250142121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
56.50.4
56.856.4
Auto12.1
Teleop37.6
End6.9
red by 21.4
237
#17
35.20.3
34.534.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Second
558
#8
40.90.4
41.140.7
Auto8.6
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 12.7
1991
#29
28.20.3
27.527.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.1
End5.0
Third
3461
#31
31.90.4
32.231.8
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End4.2
red by 5.4
2170
#10
26.50.3
25.826.1
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7