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Red139
112435.7
99932.2
169923.4
Blue131
109933.1
568627.5
18134.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091306080100120140160180139131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#20
35.70.0
36.536.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End3.0
red by 1.1
181
#15
34.60.4
35.234.8
Auto9.8
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Second
999
#4
32.20.0
33.033.0
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
blue by 0.9
33.10.4
33.733.3
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End5.1
Third
1699
#19
23.40.0
24.224.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.4
blue by 4.1
27.50.4
28.027.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End4.1