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Red145
17640.2
206741.3
310420.6
Blue112
17331.3
405531.3
455725.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13810450150200145112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.2
41.641.8
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End5.3
red by 10.0
173
#23
31.30.1
31.031.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
176
#14
40.20.2
40.640.7
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
red by 8.9
31.30.1
31.031.1
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.3
Third
3104
#13
20.60.2
21.021.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 4.5
4557
#25
25.10.1
24.824.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End2.9