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Red173
17538.0
83935.4
314630.9
Blue174
15537.0
17738.7
216836.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127133100120140160180173174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#11
38.00.6
37.438.0
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End8.0
blue by 0.7
177
#6
38.70.5
37.437.9
Auto10.1
Teleop23.1
End5.5
Second
839
#3
35.40.6
34.835.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End4.8
blue by 1.6
155
#26
37.00.5
35.736.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End7.9
Third
3146
#24
30.90.6
30.430.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
blue by 5.1
2168
#16
36.10.5
34.835.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8