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Red71
15537.0
169923.4
17640.2
Blue95
405531.3
99932.2
23735.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948440601001201401607195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#14
40.21.3
33.632.3
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
red by 5.1
237
#17
35.20.8
27.828.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Second
155
#26
37.01.3
32.331.1
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End7.9
red by 4.8
999
#4
32.20.8
26.126.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Third
1699
#19
23.41.3
24.022.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.4
blue by 7.9
31.30.8
29.029.8
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed