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Red52
405531.3
174021.6
18134.6
Blue89
455725.1
217026.5
216836.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8674501001505289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#15
34.62.0
33.531.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.9
End5.9
blue by 1.5
2168
#16
36.11.0
29.730.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8
Second
31.32.0
29.827.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.3
red by 4.8
2170
#10
26.51.0
23.124.1
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
Third
1740
#37
21.62.0
18.216.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 3.5
4557
#25
25.11.0
20.621.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed