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Red70
514219.4
17538.0
23735.2
Blue110
174021.6
314630.9
17738.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6774405060809010011070110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#11
38.00.2
26.927.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End8.0
blue by 0.7
177
#6
38.72.6
30.633.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.1
End5.5
Second
237
#17
35.20.2
27.627.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
red by 4.2
3146
#24
30.92.6
25.528.1
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Third
5142
#38
19.40.2
12.212.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
blue by 2.3
1740
#37
21.62.6
15.217.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed