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Red72
314630.9
498714.0
23629.2
Blue80
169923.4
455725.1
83935.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6791204060801001201401607280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#24
30.90.2
28.528.7
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
blue by 4.5
839
#3
35.40.3
37.437.1
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Second
236
#22
29.20.2
25.625.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.7
End5.9
red by 4.1
4557
#25
25.10.3
23.523.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Third
4987
#40
14.00.2
15.015.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 9.4
1699
#19
23.40.3
24.023.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed