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Red95
514219.4
23629.2
278529.0
Blue108
17640.2
17331.3
206741.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6012105010015020095108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#22
29.21.5
25.827.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.7
End5.9
blue by 12.1
41.30.1
39.839.8
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End5.3
Second
2785
#18
29.01.5
26.227.7
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.5
blue by 11.2
176
#14
40.20.1
38.738.7
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
Third
5142
#38
19.41.5
15.116.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
blue by 11.9
173
#23
31.30.1
30.230.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned