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Red105
455725.1
55840.9
23735.2
Blue80
365418.6
457223.3
99932.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006805015020010580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
40.90.5
37.437.9
Auto8.6
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 8.7
999
#4
32.20.6
31.832.5
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Second
237
#17
35.20.5
31.832.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
red by 11.9
4572
#27
23.30.6
20.821.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
4557
#25
25.10.5
23.223.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End2.9
red by 6.5
3654
#28
18.60.6
17.918.6
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed