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Red81
314630.9
371822.1
318221.8
Blue140
23735.2
19556.5
18134.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58133010015020081140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#24
30.90.9
28.429.3
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
blue by 25.6
195
#1
56.51.5
53.454.9
Auto12.1
Teleop37.6
End6.9
Second
3718
#35
22.10.9
20.721.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.6
blue by 13.1
237
#17
35.21.5
29.831.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Third
3182
#36
21.80.9
18.219.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.8
End3.9
blue by 12.8
181
#15
34.61.5
34.636.1
Auto9.8
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned