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Red105
217026.5
17640.2
568627.5
Blue72
310420.6
574625.8
365418.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9856015010572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#14
40.20.7
37.838.5
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
red by 14.5
5746
#12
25.80.8
23.023.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End4.0
Second
27.50.7
26.427.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End4.1
red by 6.8
3104
#13
20.60.8
17.918.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Third
2170
#10
26.50.7
24.625.4
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
red by 7.9
3654
#28
18.60.8
19.720.4
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed