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Red74
512914.5
346131.9
365418.6
Blue102
216836.1
314630.9
206741.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55120010015020074102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#31
31.90.7
31.532.2
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 9.3
41.30.4
42.041.6
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End5.3
Second
3654
#28
18.60.7
17.918.6
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 17.5
2168
#16
36.10.4
34.734.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8
Third
5129
#39
14.50.7
13.714.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.2
blue by 16.5
3146
#24
30.90.4
30.830.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed