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Red82
278529.0
199128.2
462822.3
Blue94
169923.4
99932.2
514219.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81760501001502008294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2785
#18
29.00.3
28.729.0
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.5
blue by 3.2
999
#4
32.21.0
32.533.5
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Second
1991
#29
28.20.3
27.227.5
Auto9.0
Teleop14.1
End5.0
red by 4.8
1699
#19
23.41.0
23.724.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.4
Third
4628
#34
22.30.3
22.122.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.6
red by 3.0
5142
#38
19.41.0
18.419.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed