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Red100
568627.5
17331.3
109933.1
Blue96
318221.8
17640.2
174021.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958105015010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.6
33.033.6
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End5.1
blue by 7.1
176
#14
40.21.0
39.640.6
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
Second
173
#23
31.30.6
30.431.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 9.5
3182
#36
21.81.0
20.821.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Third
27.50.6
27.428.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End4.1
red by 5.8
1740
#37
21.61.0
20.621.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed