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Red95
57124.4
17538.0
216836.1
Blue108
206741.3
346427.6
109933.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7595406012014016095108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#11
38.01.3
27.128.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End8.0
blue by 3.3
41.30.9
33.334.1
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End5.3
Second
2168
#16
36.11.3
28.529.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8
red by 3.0
33.10.9
31.132.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End5.1
Third
571
#33
24.41.3
20.421.7
Auto10.7
Teleop11.4
End2.3
blue by 3.2
3464
#21
27.60.9
25.326.2
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned