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Final 22016 Connecticut State Championship
Red146
55852.7
19568.9
217026.5
Blue145
23062.8
112446.9
371926.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192159050100250300350146145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 6.1
230
#18
62.80.0
62.8→62.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
Second
558
#6
52.70.0
52.7→52.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 5.8
1124
#4
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Third
2170
#24
26.50.0
26.5→26.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
red by 0.5
3719
#22
26.10.0
26.1→26.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7